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The leading company building AGI defines it as "a highly autonomous system that outperforms humans at most economically valuable work." If all goes well, the end of the story is abundance. But what about the messy middle? Below, we've modeled the diffusion of AGI throughout the economy. As a human, you have the right to know when AI will take your job. Search your job below and get an estimated date for hitting 80% unemployment.By Zane Austen& Arata KagamiPublished 08/11/26Public Relations Specialists2039 Est. Unemployment: 100.0%GDP Contribution (2021): $17.8BShare this analysisSend this in a group chat or on X/Twitter.Rediscovering Scarcity, Chapter 1When Intelligence and Money Break: The Dual Singularities AheadBy Zane Austen& Arata KagamiThe following outlines what we see as the most likely path for the coming decade. Our aim is not to be precise nor to provoke, but to be ready.
Consider this a projection of structural, technological, and macroeconomic forces already in motion, shaped by today’s constraints on capital, energy, and human adaptation. Other paths remain possible, of course, including low-probability outcomes such as a sudden recursive takeoff to AGI or an unforeseen geopolitical shock that reshapes the cycle entirely.Here are our key claims:Monetary Singularity before AI Singularity.