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How America Broke Its Own Military

▲ 21 points by robtherobber 1mo ago HN discussion ↗

Pangram verdict · v3.3

We believe that this document is fully human-written

0 %

AI likelihood · overall

Human
100% human-written 0% AI-generated
SEGMENTS · HUMAN 5 of 5
SEGMENTS · AI 0 of 5
WORD COUNT 1,829
PEAK AI % 0% · §4
Analyzed
Jul 18
backend: pangram/v3.3
Segments scanned
5 windows
avg 366 words each
Distribution
100 / 0%
human / AI fraction
Verdict
Human
Pangram v3.3

Article text · 1,829 words · 5 segments analyzed

Human AI-generated
§1 Human · 0%

‘I just can’t imagine someone looking at the United States armed forces today and suggesting that they are close to breaking.’ — Donald Rumsfeld, 2006On 10 September 2001, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld stood in front of the assembled great and good of the Pentagon and delivered an expansive lecture entitled ‘Bureaucracy to Battlefield’. Its prescriptions were radical — among the most portentous in US military history — but thanks to the terrorist atrocities the following day, his words remain buried deep in the memory hole, while their consequences are buried under the sands of Iraq and Afghanistan. ‘The topic today is an adversary that poses a threat, a serious threat, to the security of the United States of America’, Rumsfeld began, before revealing the threat to be not Al-Qaeda, but the ‘Pentagon bureaucracy.’ ‘Not the people, but the processes’, he added reassuringly. ‘Not the civilians, but the systems. Not the men and women in uniform, but the uniformity of thought and action that we too often impose on them.’ In essence, Rumsfeld’s speech that day was designed to lay the ground and soften up his workers for a massive privatization of the Department of Defense’s services. It was the realization of a long-held dream for Republican politicians and their corporate allies in Washington — who would now be presented with a sweet shop full of lucrative government contacts to chew on.With the tragic events of 9/11 and the ensuing two-front ground war in the Middle East, Rumsfeld got an opportunity to enact his programme with minimal opposition. The results were clear eight years into the War on Terror, when the DOD had 95,461 private contractors working for them in Iraq compared to 95,900 US military personnel. The use of private contractors was by then so embedded that Barack Obama’s pledge on the campaign trail in 2008 to bring an end to the practice became just another broken promise among many. But while the privatisation of the war effort is a topic that has been explored extensively by a number of journalists, notably Jeremy Scahill, one aspect of the program has received little coverage — namely Rumsfeld’s plan for soldiers on the payroll of the DOD.

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This was a scheme that would prove catastrophic for the troops and the occupied populations living under them. Veiled in the language of business-style efficiency savings, Rumsfeld’s plan was intended to eviscerate the US military, which was to become merely an appendage to the massive private forces the US would soon employ.‘In this period of limited funds,’ Rumsfeld continued, ‘we need every nickel, every good idea, every innovation, every effort to help modernize and transform the US military.’ This could only be done by changing the basics of how the Pentagon worked, in a process that would later be dubbed ‘Transformation’: ‘Many of the skills we most require are also in high demand in the private sector, as all of you know. To compete, we need to bring the Department of Defense the human resources practices that have already transformed the private sector.’ Even the DOD itself was to be run like a corporation: ‘We must employ the tools of modern business. More flexible compensation packages, modern recruiting techniques and better training.’ What Rumsfeld wanted was a scaled-down, streamlined US military — a reversal of what had become known as the Powell Doctrine, named for the Desert Storm general Colin Powell, who believed in high troop numbers, ‘overwhelming force’, and a defined exit strategy.It was a risky approach for Rumsfeld to take. Even before 9/11, Powell, by now Secretary of State, had observed that ‘Our armed forces are stretched rather thin, and there is a limit to how many of these deployments we can sustain.’ That would prove to be an understatement. But Rumsfeld was backed in his new approach by his boss, President George W. Bush, who much to Powell’s consternation shared the same vision: ‘Building tomorrow’s force is not going to be easy. Changing the direction of our military is like changing the course of a mighty ship’, Bush said in May 2001.The oft-repeated cliché is that everything changed on September 11, and indeed it did for millions of Americans. But not for Rumsfeld: his priorities stayed the same, while his popularity surged as he was pictured helping victims of the attack at the Pentagon into ambulances. He now had not only the ultimate cover for changing the course of the mighty ship and designing a pared-down business-style war machine, but also the perfect laboratory for his experiments.

§3 Human · 0%

It wasn’t long before the war drums began beating in earnest soon. The invasion of Afghanistan began with a Rumsfeld-inspired Special Forces mission to bribe local warlords, supported by airstrikes obviating the need for overwhelming manpower. But the so-called neoconservatives weren’t finished yet: they had their eyes on the ultimate prize of Iraq and, sure enough, eighteen months later and much more controversially, the country with the third-largest reserves of oil in the world was attacked — a move Rumsfeld’s deputy Paul Wolfowitz had been advocating for (again, with a Rumsfeld-style small force) in the 1990s. Over the next decade, US bombs fell on Syria and Pakistan and Yemen, amongst others, as the Middle East turned into a conflagration of Dantesque proportions, with civilians, insurgents, and US service members all caught up in the blaze.Rumsfeld’s guinea-pigs for his new experiment in ‘flexible’ military planning were the patriotic Americans who believed they were signing up to defend their country — at the height of the War on Terror, 1.6 million of them had served in the Middle East. That number, equivalent to the population of a country like Estonia or a city like Philadelphia, must have come as a surprise to Rumsfeld, who had predicated his whole war plan on a much smaller force and a short war. In fact, soon after 9/11, General Tommy Franks had been asked by Rumsfeld to estimate how many troops an invasion of Iraq would require. The last contingency plan for invading Iraq, dating from 1998, had recommended a force of more than 380,000. But, apparently under pressure from Rumsfeld, General Franks presented his ‘Generated Start’ plan with an initial troop count of just 275,000. Even that was too much for Rumsfeld, who in typical peremptory fashion slapped down the general and pushed for an even smaller force.According to Michael Gordon, military correspondent for the New York Times, ‘They came up with a variant called the running start, where you begin maybe with a division or so, and then the reinforcements would flow behind it. So, you start small but you just keep sending more of what you need.’

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This approach generated what was called a ‘war within a war’, as it pitted Rumsfeld against General Eric Shinseki, the army’s popular Chief of Staff, and Secretary of State Powell, both of whom (rightly) believed that large numbers of troops would be needed to ensure security after the initial fighting was over. General Shinseki publicly proposed a force of 200,000, after his frustration with Rumsfeld’s intransigence on the issue became insufferable. It didn’t matter. Rumsfeld wouldn’t listen.This tactic was so blinded by ideology that it directly contradicted the ostensible goals of the invasion — disarming Saddam Hussein. ‘The United States did not have nearly enough troops to secure the hundreds of suspected WMD sites that had supposedly been identified in Iraq or to secure the nation’s long, porous borders’, wrote Michael Gordon and General Bernard Trainor in their book Cobra II. ‘Had the Iraqis possessed WMD and terrorist groups been prevalent in Iraq as the Bush administration so loudly asserted, [the limited number of] U.S. forces might well have failed to prevent the WMD from being spirited out of the country and falling into the hands of the dark forces the administration had declared war against.’ But it wasn’t just ideology that was to blame for the ensuing damage to the US military and its war aims; there was a sizeable dose of incompetence as well. Declassified war-planning documents from the US Central Command in August 2002 show how ill-prepared the Bush administration was for the occupation which was to follow. The plan they put together assumed that by December 2006 the US military would be almost completely drawn down from Iraq, leaving a residual force of just 5,000 troops. It was madness, but nevertheless music to Rumsfeld’s ears.After much wrangling, Rumsfeld and Franks compromised and the initial force numbered 130,000, much smaller than had been envisioned in the 1990s, but not as slim as Rumsfeld had hoped. It didn’t go to plan anyway, and the troop levels were not enough to get a handle on this country of 30 million people.

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Incrementally more service members were sent out alongside private contractors as the situation descended into chaos after the first viceroy Paul Bremner’s decommissioning of the police and military sparked endless violence. By 2005, the US had 150,000 troops deployed in Iraq, and 19,500 in Afghanistan. But the war plan meant the military wasn’t prepared in any way for this kind of deployment — and it was unraveling. In 2005, just two years into the war in Iraq, people were talking openly about the fact that the US military had reached breaking point. At a Senate hearing in March of that year, General Richard A. Cody expressed these concerns publicly: ‘What keeps me awake at night is what will this all-volunteer force look like in 2007.’ But he didn’t know the half of it. Worse was to come as in the same year the army missed its recruitment targets by the largest margin since 1979, a time when US society was still afflicted with so-called ‘Vietnam Syndrome’ and the army was much bigger and recruiting twice as many soldiers. Around this time a retired army officer named Andrew F. Krepinevich, writing under a Pentagon contract, released a shocking report which was scathing about the US military being able to maintain its troop levels in Iraq without breaking the military or losing the war. His diagnosis was simple: the US armed forces were ‘confronted with a protracted deployment against irregular forces waging insurgencies’, but the ground forces required to provide stability and security in Afghanistan and Iraq ‘clearly exceed those available for the mission.’ To compensate, the army was introducing change by the back door at the expense of their troops. Krepinevich pointed to the frequent and untimely redeployment of service members. ‘Soldiers and brigades are being deployed more frequently, and for longer periods, than what the Army believes is appropriate in order to attract and retain the number of soldiers necessary to maintain the size and quality of the force asking.’ He offered three solutions for overcoming the desperate shortage of troops: redeploy existing troops more frequently still; redeploy them for even longer; or deploy US Marine ground troops.The first two of these prescriptions had already been undertaken by the army, but it was a dangerous game. ‘